Yesterday The Hardball Times released its annual compendium of analysis, commentary, history, and fiction. I was lucky enough to be […]
Read moreTag: bayesian
My Updated Prediction of Aaron Judge’s 2017 Home Run Total
When I last wrote about Aaron Judge, he’d hit 23 home runs in his first 283 plate appearances. The world […]
Read moreMike Moustakas is On Track to Set the Kansas City Royals’ Single-Season Home Run Record
Mike Moustakas is among many hitters taking advantage of the harder baseballs with lower seams that are fueling record-breaking home […]
Read moreHow Many Home Runs will Aaron Judge Hit in 2017?
As an Orioles fan it pains me to write this, but New York Yankees wunderkind Aaron Judge is on a […]
Read moreDemonic Velocity
In 2014 it seems like every young promising pitcher is going under the knife for Tommy John surgery. Baseball fans, […]
Read morePreliminary: Using Bayes’s Theorem to Predict the Orioles’ Shot at 94 Wins
In my previous article, I used Bayes’s theorem to ask the question “if the O’s are at or above .500 […]
Read morePredicting a Winning Season for the Orioles
How predictive is the O’s record on July 1 of their season-ending record? I thought about this question a lot […]
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