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Preliminary: Using Bayes’s Theorem to Predict the Orioles’ Shot at 94 Wins
In my previous article, I used Bayes’s theorem to ask the question “if the O’s are at or above .500 […]
Read moreCupcake Time!
Mountaintop by Ryan Pollack
Read morePredicting a Winning Season for the Orioles
How predictive is the O’s record on July 1 of their season-ending record? I thought about this question a lot […]
Read moreMost Valuable Pinch-Hit Appearances in 2013, American League
In this edition of WPA analysis/storytelling, I wanted to focus on pinch hitters. I defined a pinch-hit appearance as one […]
Read moreBiggest Single-Game Contributions in 2013, National League
Welcome back! This post is the second in a two-part series; in part one, I looked at single-game contributions in […]
Read moreOne Definition of “Valuable” in 2013
Every year, we debate who’s going to be the MVP. Some people use their eyes and their gut … others […]
Read moreBiggest Single-Game Contributions in 2013, American League
I love the metric Win Probability Added (WPA). It’s “the story stat”, a way to quantify the contributions made by […]
Read moreHappy Halloween!
Señor Alpacapants
This fellow was hanging out at Biscuit Hill B&B in Canyon Lake, TX.
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